A storm brewing for The Arsenal…

Morning all.

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium, a pitch which will be watered all day and mowed to a level which does not always assist a team who likes to pass the ball around a lot. A pitch on which the poor of Totts goalkeeper Kinsky lost his footing on just a month or so ago when his team was beaten 5-2 but it wasn’t entirely the grass to blame for his performance. He, and Totts for that matter, were just poor. Hopefully the Arsenal players footwear will be better and they will be forewarned of what lay ahead or more to point, what lay underfoot.

Reports suggest that severe weather conditions are expected across the Madrid Metropolitan Area later today, which could see 3cm of rain fall from midday onwards. Strong winds are expected too but you never know, perhaps the winds will help Arsenal’s passes travel forwards a bit quicker…

Twenty years and ten days ago was our last successful attempt to get through a Champions League semi-final which funny enough, was against another Spanish club in Villarreal. The home tie at Highbury ended 1-0 to The Arsenal thanks to a Kolo Toure goal. The second leg ended 0-0 but only thanks to Jens Lehmann who saved a late penalty.

Should we repeat the 2006 season and reach the final, there will be no Barcelona waiting because they were knocked out in the last round by Atletico, the second leg being action packed from start to finish. Barca had lost the home tie 2-0, leaving much to do in the Spanish capital, nevertheless, within 25 minutes the tie was level and Barca were looking favourites to reach the semi-final. Seven minutes later though, Lookman scored and that was how the game ended.

If ever there was a football manager who could make a guest appearance on The Sopranos and go unnoticed, it’s Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone. He looks like a tough nut, his teams play like they are tough nuts. They certainly know what dark arts of the game are, mind you, so do Arsenal and I expect to see a full repertoire from both teams tonight and in the second leg.

Two Arsenal managers have come up against Simeone and his Atletico side before, Unai Emery in 2018 in the Europa League when the Spanish club came out on top and then Mikel Arteta earlier this season during the league phase when Arsenal put four goals past them. Two from Viktor Gyokeres and one each from Gabriel and Gabriel Martinelli. An hour into that game, it was 0-0 but 14 minutes later, it was 4-0. Brilliant.

A stat for you:

  • When playing at either the Vicente Calderón or the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atlético Madrid have never lost at home to an English side in a UEFA Champions League knockout stage match (P6 W3 D3). All six of those were against different teams (Chelsea, Leicester, Liverpool, Man Utd, Man City & Tottenham)

Atletico have conceded two goals in each of their last five games so there’s a good chance, we will have opportunities to score tonight. Whether we can take them or not is the question.

Riccardo Calafiori, Bukayo Saka, Ebb Eze and Gabriel Martinelli were all in training yesterday. No sign of Kai Havertz, Jurrien Timber or Mikel Merino though. Hopefully soon..

Adrian Clarke has as usual, given a tactical analysis on Atletico and what we can expect from them tonight in their own stadium, in front of their own fans.

Simeone is one of the very few head coaches at the highest level of European football to favour a 4-4-2 formation. His teams were previously renowned for their defensive grit, but now Atleti are an adventurous attacking outfit. Our semi-final opponents have scored in all 14 matches in Europe this term, but tellingly, they have also conceded in 13 of those. 

There are goal threats with Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth and the evergreen Antoine Griezmann as centre-forward options, while Ademola Lookman is a real livewire coming in off the left. He has pace and skill aplenty and was a constant threat against Barcelona in the quarter-final. 

Defensively, the hosts will press with ferocity and lead the competition’s rankings for tackles won, most interceptions, and duels won. In attack, they are perhaps at their most menacing on the counter, scoring a competition-high seven goals from fast breaks in 2025/26, plus have netted 10 set-piece goals, more than any other Champions League side. 

They have many strengths, but also clear weaknesses. Barcelona created seven big chances against them at the Metropolitano, with big gaps left in behind a high line a recurring theme. Only Qarabag and Real Madrid have faced more shots than Atleti, so we should have opportunities in this tough but appetising first leg.

Speaking in his pre match press conference, Mikel Arteta said:

It’s a massive privilege to be here again, two years in a row at the same part of the Champions League, representing our club. We have an opportunity, we’re going to grab it with both hands. You’re going to see a team that wants to be dominant, that wants to win it, and they want to start to decide the tie tomorrow.

This is the status that we want, and we have earned it through incredible work, passion and quality in the last nine months. Now is the moment to make a statement, and show how good we are, how much we want it, and make it happen. It’s clear, the opportunity is in front of us, and we have to attack it.

I think Arsenal have been brilliant in Europe so far which is why we remain unbeaten. No doubt this tie will be tough, very tough but if Arsenal can be at their best mentally as well as in footballing terms, there’s no reason we cannot reach the final. Atletico will make it hard for us, of course they will, we just have to make it harder for them..

Catch up in the comments..

 

 

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allezkev
allezkev
29 minutes ago

Late Morning/Early Afternoon Rico, it’s a beautiful day here in Essex, not a cloud in the sky, but there’s a stiff breeze out so maybe it’s the edge of the storm system heading seemingly to Madrid? A waterlogged pitch sounds just perfect for Gyokeres to plough through.

I saw some brief highlights from our earlier encounter with Atletico this season and they created (and missed) quite a lot of chances in the match, particularly before we scored.

Hopefully Nicolas Jovier has been working on some inventive new dead ball gymnastics with which to befuddle the home team as was the case when we broke the deadlock last time?

allezkev
allezkev
Reply to  rico
4 minutes ago

Great article Rico, it’ll be interesting to have a debate in the summer over the good, the bad and the ugly of Berta’s first transfer window. It’s probable that a few of those signings had already been identified before he joined Arsenal so this summer will arguably be his first transfer window for us, entirely on him.

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