A storm brewing for The Arsenal…

Morning all.

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium, a pitch which will be watered all day and mowed to a level which does not always assist a team who likes to pass the ball around a lot. A pitch on which the poor of Totts goalkeeper Kinsky lost his footing on just a month or so ago when his team was beaten 5-2 but it wasn’t entirely the grass to blame for his performance. He, and Totts for that matter, were just poor. Hopefully the Arsenal players footwear will be better and they will be forewarned of what lay ahead or more to point, what lay underfoot.

Reports suggest that severe weather conditions are expected across the Madrid Metropolitan Area later today, which could see 3cm of rain fall from midday onwards. Strong winds are expected too but you never know, perhaps the winds will help Arsenal’s passes travel forwards a bit quicker…

Twenty years and ten days ago was our last successful attempt to get through a Champions League semi-final which funny enough, was against another Spanish club in Villarreal. The home tie at Highbury ended 1-0 to The Arsenal thanks to a Kolo Toure goal. The second leg ended 0-0 but only thanks to Jens Lehmann who saved a late penalty.

Should we repeat the 2006 season and reach the final, there will be no Barcelona waiting because they were knocked out in the last round by Atletico, the second leg being action packed from start to finish. Barca had lost the home tie 2-0, leaving much to do in the Spanish capital, nevertheless, within 25 minutes the tie was level and Barca were looking favourites to reach the semi-final. Seven minutes later though, Lookman scored and that was how the game ended.

If ever there was a football manager who could make a guest appearance on The Sopranos and go unnoticed, it’s Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone. He looks like a tough nut, his teams play like they are tough nuts. They certainly know what dark arts of the game are, mind you, so do Arsenal and I expect to see a full repertoire from both teams tonight and in the second leg.

Two Arsenal managers have come up against Simeone and his Atletico side before, Unai Emery in 2018 in the Europa League when the Spanish club came out on top and then Mikel Arteta earlier this season during the league phase when Arsenal put four goals past them. Two from Viktor Gyokeres and one each from Gabriel and Gabriel Martinelli. An hour into that game, it was 0-0 but 14 minutes later, it was 4-0. Brilliant.

A stat for you:

  • When playing at either the Vicente Calderón or the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atlético Madrid have never lost at home to an English side in a UEFA Champions League knockout stage match (P6 W3 D3). All six of those were against different teams (Chelsea, Leicester, Liverpool, Man Utd, Man City & Tottenham)

Atletico have conceded two goals in each of their last five games so there’s a good chance, we will have opportunities to score tonight. Whether we can take them or not is the question.

Riccardo Calafiori, Bukayo Saka, Ebb Eze and Gabriel Martinelli were all in training yesterday. No sign of Kai Havertz, Jurrien Timber or Mikel Merino though. Hopefully soon..

Adrian Clarke has as usual, given a tactical analysis on Atletico and what we can expect from them tonight in their own stadium, in front of their own fans.

Simeone is one of the very few head coaches at the highest level of European football to favour a 4-4-2 formation. His teams were previously renowned for their defensive grit, but now Atleti are an adventurous attacking outfit. Our semi-final opponents have scored in all 14 matches in Europe this term, but tellingly, they have also conceded in 13 of those. 

There are goal threats with Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth and the evergreen Antoine Griezmann as centre-forward options, while Ademola Lookman is a real livewire coming in off the left. He has pace and skill aplenty and was a constant threat against Barcelona in the quarter-final. 

Defensively, the hosts will press with ferocity and lead the competition’s rankings for tackles won, most interceptions, and duels won. In attack, they are perhaps at their most menacing on the counter, scoring a competition-high seven goals from fast breaks in 2025/26, plus have netted 10 set-piece goals, more than any other Champions League side. 

They have many strengths, but also clear weaknesses. Barcelona created seven big chances against them at the Metropolitano, with big gaps left in behind a high line a recurring theme. Only Qarabag and Real Madrid have faced more shots than Atleti, so we should have opportunities in this tough but appetising first leg.

Speaking in his pre match press conference, Mikel Arteta said:

It’s a massive privilege to be here again, two years in a row at the same part of the Champions League, representing our club. We have an opportunity, we’re going to grab it with both hands. You’re going to see a team that wants to be dominant, that wants to win it, and they want to start to decide the tie tomorrow.

This is the status that we want, and we have earned it through incredible work, passion and quality in the last nine months. Now is the moment to make a statement, and show how good we are, how much we want it, and make it happen. It’s clear, the opportunity is in front of us, and we have to attack it.

I think Arsenal have been brilliant in Europe so far which is why we remain unbeaten. No doubt this tie will be tough, very tough but if Arsenal can be at their best mentally as well as in footballing terms, there’s no reason we cannot reach the final. Atletico will make it hard for us, of course they will, we just have to make it harder for them..

Catch up in the comments..

 

 

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allezkev
allezkev
24 days ago

Late Morning/Early Afternoon Rico, it’s a beautiful day here in Essex, not a cloud in the sky, but there’s a stiff breeze out so maybe it’s the edge of the storm system heading seemingly to Madrid? A waterlogged pitch sounds just perfect for Gyokeres to plough through.

I saw some brief highlights from our earlier encounter with Atletico this season and they created (and missed) quite a lot of chances in the match, particularly before we scored.

Hopefully Nicolas Jovier has been working on some inventive new dead ball gymnastics with which to befuddle the home team as was the case when we broke the deadlock last time?

allezkev
allezkev
Reply to  rico
24 days ago

Great article Rico, it’ll be interesting to have a debate in the summer over the good, the bad and the ugly of Berta’s first transfer window. It’s probable that a few of those signings had already been identified before he joined Arsenal so this summer will arguably be his first transfer window for us, entirely on him.

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

G’day Rico.

A superfluity of choice this evening WSL Arsenal v Leicester 7pm. Or C L Athletico Madrid v Arsenal 8 pm.

Record one watch the other live? Don’t think I’d get away with that! 😕

Limey
Limey
24 days ago

Afternoon all,
I’ve found the Champions league less stressful than the torture of the Premier league. Atletico will do their best to make us suffer though.
I would take a draw right now,but we can win this.
Who will be the hero ? Hopefully Saka or Gyokeres,whoever plays it’s unlikely to be over tonight.
What an occasion,semi final for the second year running,can’t be bad.
COYG

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

I’ll take a stab at the starting eleven :-

Raya, Mosquera, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie, Zubimendi, Rice, Odegaard, Saka, Gyokeres, Martinelli.

The only thing I don’t want to see is Eze and Odegaard on the pitch at the same time.

LE GALL
LE GALL
24 days ago

Thanks for the preview, Rico … and the intel about Berta’s beginnings!
I’m surprised Adrian didn’t have a word for Llorente in his analysis. He’s the guy who ignites things on their right flank – their strongest, by some miles -, I find them to be quite an “unbalanced“ team in that regard.
(I’m choosing my words carefully here, all the more so after yesterday’s insanely beautiful game) … I think he’s the only RWB who could pretend to rival with Hakimi at the moment, and when both he and Diego Jr. are on fire, their connection can tear any team’s left flank to shreds.
Which is why … (“Stubborn“ could be my middle name), I’d love Mick to pick a 3-man midfield with Declan shifting to the right, Myles on the left as the indefatigable support Hincapié or Cala will need tonight, and Nørgaard (which won’t happen …) or “rejuvenated“ (at last ??) Zubi as a sentinel-deep playmaker between them, in front of our CBs … but that’s just wishful thinking, I know that.
About (what has looked to me as – I’m far from having watched all of their games) their “unbalance“, their left flank appears to be their weakness, their “Helm’s Gate’s culvert“, whether it be Lenglet or Gimenez by Le Normand’s left side, or Hancko/Ruggeri in the LB position (I don’t understand why DS doesn’t pick right-footed, but also World Champion Molina there …).
Looks to me that Bukayo back to his best could cause a lot of damage there, but it might also be the night when Angry Gyö takes advantage of the weak link in their central defense to shut Arsenal fans’ critical mouths (including mine!!).
Anyway, as I said the other day, I’m kind of looking forward to the game. I love Cup nights, we haven’t been treated that often to CL semi-final ties, so I just want to enjoy it, whatever the lineup, the tactics etc. will be. Actually – and for a change this season – on this particular night, there’d be nothing to chastise ourselves with about a goalless draw, would there?

Stuart Noel Angus
Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

Good antipodean morning Rico and all. A beautiful sunrise and birdsong is accompanying the build up to another CL semi final. Enjoy the game.

Stuart Noel Angus
Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

The Gunners are unbeaten in their last 12 Champions League games.
Their longest ever run of European Cup or UCL matches without a loss came between March 2005 and April 2006. It took them all the way to the 2006 Champions League final – which they lost 2-1 to Barcelona after leading at half time.
If Mikel Arteta’s side can resist defeat at the Metrapolitano this evening, they’ll match that record run.

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

Okay here Rico, anyone notice how our attacks slow down when Odegaard gets on the ball?

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

Arsenal Women 7 – 0 77 mins.

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

Arsenal penalty. Gyokeres scores 🔔

Stuart Noel Angus
Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

Phew! The power of the penalty was key. Went straight thru Oblak’s arms. Noni doing very well. If he can get the fullback booked, Bukuyu can come on and make hay.

LE GALL
LE GALL
24 days ago

1-0 to The Arsenal …
what a penalty-taker Gyö is; no fuss, no hesitation, boom.
He and Noni have had a very good half … how can Ødegaard not have put his foot through the ball straight away, at the end of our big guy’s outstanding run-cutback??
I’m starting to wonder whether all of Mikel’s work about positions, discipline, focus, set pieces etc. might have been meant to make sense in the final games of the CL, which no English team can win nowadays playing the kind of football the two teams – who just yawn their way to victory in domestic competitions – delivered yesterday.
No English club can play like this come April, after nine months of hard-fought battles in the PL and domestic cups, that’s just physically impossible – unless we had the same docs as Tadej Pogacar.
C’mon, lads, 2-0 into the 2nd leg I’d have nothing against. Just sayin’.

Stuart Noel Angus
Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

Should not the defender have been sent off? His shove on Gyo prevented a goal scoring opportunity, no one between him and Oblak…

potter
potter
Reply to  Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

When the camera panned to Odegaard I just said Noooo!

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

7 – 0 final score. 🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

Penalty to Athletico 1 – 1.

Odegaard off Eze on.

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

We’ve now got two players up front, Eze and Jesus, neither have any clue or intention of the pressing game.

Cicero
Cicero
24 days ago

All square 1 – 1

Stuart Noel Angus
Stuart Noel Angus
24 days ago

Ref bottled it. Clear penalty IMHO.
1-1 to take back to the Em’s. All good in the hood.

LE GALL
LE GALL
24 days ago

Great result, and great performance.
This is the away leg of a CL semi-final tie in what may be the most hostile stadium in Europe, we’re talking about …
We all know Tuesday’s game won’t be a stroll through he park, but right now the 16 lads deserve a very vocal “Attaboy“. Bring on the Cottagers now.
COYG

potter
potter
24 days ago

Simeone was reffing that towards the end especially with the pen decision

potter
potter
24 days ago

next up Fulham before the second game on Tuesday, 3 games in 6 days , we had to make changes before we get a spate of hamstrings.

allezkev
allezkev
Reply to  rico
24 days ago

Overall that was a pretty impressive performance by the Gunners in a very difficult stadium, we didn’t seem phased at all by the atmosphere and that was very heartening to see, shows we are maturing into a serious European competitor. Alvarez passed his examination with flying colours and should a priority target for us in the summer.

Cicero
Cicero
23 days ago

What happened to our new short corner routine? Like the Margaret Mitchell novel, Gone with the wind?

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